Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.121832 0.144331 0.169496 0.199682 0.234860 0.274514 0.322551
2025-01-12 0.084267 0.112407 0.147449 0.194090 0.254324 0.329244 0.429233
2025-01-19 0.062290 0.091412 0.130921 0.188006 0.267868 0.375026 0.528990
2025-01-26 0.050993 0.081020 0.124745 0.192318 0.293191 0.437043 0.656248
2025-02-02 0.042552 0.072512 0.118934 0.194995 0.315076 0.495487 0.784492
2025-02-09 0.035805 0.065032 0.112938 0.195674 0.332992 0.549067 0.910812
2025-02-16 0.030917 0.059538 0.108924 0.198389 0.353724 0.608491 1.052122
2025-02-23 0.027737 0.056355 0.108102 0.205994 0.383010 0.684328 1.227753
2025-03-02 0.023254 0.049865 0.100293 0.199896 0.387407 0.718492 1.336522
2025-03-09 0.020329 0.045829 0.096294 0.200005 0.402574 0.772371 1.484553
2025-03-16 0.017557 0.041568 0.091137 0.197003 0.411264 0.815133 1.616526
2025-03-23 0.015944 0.039483 0.089988 0.201697 0.435170 0.888133 1.811375
2025-03-30 0.013955 0.036233 0.086011 0.200217 0.447040 0.940446 1.974396
2025-04-06 0.011989 0.032657 0.080768 0.195276 0.451173 0.978171 2.113292
2025-04-13 0.010256 0.029298 0.075442 0.189307 0.452222 1.009583 2.242540
2025-04-20 0.009390 0.027984 0.074690 0.193683 0.476477 1.091431 2.483938
2025-04-27 0.008532 0.026520 0.073329 0.196386 0.497209 1.167806 2.721189
2025-05-04 0.007679 0.024888 0.071275 0.197071 0.513266 1.235525 2.946221
2025-05-11 0.007017 0.023675 0.070108 0.199805 0.534514 1.316877 3.209175
2025-05-18 0.006621 0.023183 0.070799 0.207461 0.568758 1.431201 3.557362
2025-05-25 0.005759 0.021042 0.066564 0.201322 0.567487 1.462589 3.717318
2025-06-01 0.005212 0.019805 0.064705 0.201432 0.582320 1.533715 3.977391
2025-06-08 0.004634 0.018330 0.061890 0.198410 0.588465 1.584249 4.192731